JUN
29
Are Pre-2011 Nickels Worth the Hedge?
By:

US Nickel It has been argued by those in the prep­per and sur­vival com­mu­ni­ty that because nick­els (pre-2011ish) con­tain 75% cop­per and 25 % nick­el will appre­ci­ate with infla­tion and/or pre­cious met­als.  It’s been said that the price of the nick­el will go up in a post eco­nom­ic col­lapse sce­nario.  My own pre­lim­i­nary research says this is debat­able.  I’m no econ­o­mist, nei­ther am I a finan­cial advi­sor, so I’ll try to spare you much hyper­bole.

So, what is a U.S. issue nick­el worth today?  As of June 28th, 2013, the Web­site, Coin­fla­tion  said that a 1946 — 2013 nick­el melt val­ue is actu­al­ly worth $0.0422916, almost .$0068 cents less than the actu­al $.05 it is sup­posed to be worth.  Here is how they derived at that num­ber:

 

1. Cal­cu­late 75% cop­per val­ue :  (3.0519 × .00220462262 × 5.00 × .75) = $0.0252307

2. Cal­cu­late 25% nick­el val­ue : (6.1911 × .00220462262 × 5.00 × .25) = $0.0170609

3. Add the two togeth­er : $0.0252307 + $0.0170609 = $0.0422916

Here is is how they came to the num­bers in the for­mu­la:

  • $3.0519 = cop­per price / pound on Jun 28, 2013.
  • .75 = cop­per %
  • $6.1911 = nick­el price / pound on Jun 28, 2013.
  • .25 = nick­el %
  • 5.00 = total weight in grams
  • .00220462262 = pound/gram con­ver­sion fac­tor (see note direct­ly below)

Of course, the val­ue is derived from the day’s spot price for both nick­el and cop­per.  If either of those met­als spike on the com­modi­ties mar­ket, then the val­ue of the nick­el increas­es, but if the val­ue of the met­als goes down so does the val­ue of the nick­el.  Not tak­en into con­sid­er­a­tion (arguably) is the street val­ue the pub­lic places on what a nick­el is real­ly worth.  Just like the pen­ny, I feel the nick­el is one of those coins great­ly invis­i­ble to the aver­age sheep on the street.  Is that an advan­tage for the prep­per type?  Would stock­pil­ing ammo box­es of nick­els be advan­ta­geous or just clut­ter up the prep­pers space already?

I already buy sil­ver, and the ‘experts’ have been say­ing sil­ver is going to spike, con­tin­ue to rise, etc. as the econ­o­my does bet­ter or does worse.  As of this week I saw the spot price of sil­ver at $19.66 per troy ounce at spot price as of June 28th.  It is one of the low­est clos­ing prices it has been in a LONG time.  I’m under­wa­ter on much of my sil­ver, and if I con­tin­ue to ‘watch’ the pric­ing, I am going to be a bit upset.  But if I con­tin­ue to buy at this price, at some point it will aver­age out and low­er my over­all costs because I am accu­mu­lat­ing more.  It’s hard to say what to do.

Let me know what you think.  I’m debat­ing whether this is a smart task to begin hoard­ing nick­els and under­tak­ing along with my oth­er prepa­ra­tions.

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2
COMMENTS
By: suburban
jun
30

In reply to Patrick .

@Patrick I have a fishbowl full of change.  I am going to start separating the nickels and continue to separate them going forward.  It’s not that much effort than throwing them in the fishbowl with the other change.  Thanks for commenting!

By: Patrick
jun
30

I already have one ammo can full of rolls of nickels and they are heavy! Usually the only time I ever cash out some rolls is to buy silver. Actually I’m not sure wether I should start another ammo can of nickel rolls or not.

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